Week 3 Tiers

[Sammy Swordsman]

Tier 1 -    Mater Dei, SJB, Bishop Gorman, Miami Central, AHP,  Chaminade

Tier 2 –   IMG, Buford, SFA, SJC, Card Gibbons, STA,  Guyer , Northshore,

Tier 3  -   Cen10, SJP Westlake, North Cobb, Katy, Moeller, Chandler, Duncanville

Tier 4 -  Allen, St. Ed, Timpview, Skyridge, Grayson, DeMatha, Northwestern, Bergen,  Edgewater

Tier 5 - Cedar Grove, Mission Viejo, Folsom, Serra, Desoto, Santa Margarita, Dillard Good Counsel, Lipscomb academy, Poly, Colquitt

Tier 6 - Lowndes, Hoban, DBP, Venice, Center Grove, Lakeland, Los Al, DLS, Basha, Catholic (BR) , Loyola (IL), Milton

Tier 1 Mendoza:   SFA (54), Bishop Gorman (51), Mater Dei (40), DLS (38),AHP (28), Allen (22)

Tier 6 Mendoza:  Zachary (-35), , STA (-19), St. Ed (-14), Lownds (-11),

Dungeon Tier - ESL,  Hamilton, Liberty (NV),

New addition is the Dungeon Tier.  Teams with the most precipitous year over year decline, from a National team to not being relevant, Choking in a key game, and/or falling significantly short of expectations.  Also teams with hororendous schedules well below their pay grade may be included.r

 

 

A new metric for Tier ranking will be the Mendoza Handicap.    Modeled after baseball's Mendoza line, this handicap will represent a teams effort at scheduling relevant games.  No team with a negative Mendoza handicap will be considered for   Tier 1. 

* - Indicates teams on probation for their Tier.

** - Indicates Johnny Stanton rule in effect. (dropped due to uncertainty around injury to star player).

*Requests to add your team will be honored.  But must be Tier 6 or above to be placed on a Tier.

Below is an explanation of the Methodolgy used to place the teams on various Tiers.  The Tier concept recognizes that W/L records are a function of quality of opponent, and as such, RELEVANCY of opponent MUST be factored in.  The Tiers recognizes that in some cases, a 10-0 team (ranked in Top 100 by some outlets) could get blown off the field by a 5-5 (unranked) team that played a tougher schedule.  This is why the Tiers was created.

*Not attempting to rank every team, only the ones we discuss on this site.

*Teams are ranked appropriately for that week in the season.  Teams can improve and regress comparatively.

* The Tiers are fluid and subject to extreme fluctuations early in the year, leveling out as the year progresses.

*Tier placements consider a team’s entire body of work, however are weighted heaviest on recent games and game weights decrease in significance in reverse order.  In other words, early road OOS losses to relevant teams can be overcome as the season progresses.

*Teams placed on the same Tier can compete with other same Tier teams and possibly win 2+ of 10. 

*Basically there is a – 2 score drop between tiers.  Could vary from a TD to 3 scores depending on the styles of teams playing.  This does not necessarily mean that there is a 30 point difference between Tier 1 and Tier 3, only that the chances of a Tier 3 team beating a Tier 1 team are exponentially less than the chances of a Tier 2 Team beating a Tier 1 team.

*The Final Tiers will ultimately be made up of (4-16) teams per Tier that would form competitive playoff brackets.

*Tiers are based on exhaustive research, Multiple games watched, and good gut feelings.

*This is a crowd sourced rating. All input will be considered and adjustments will be made as appropriate

[Columbiafan]

2 hours ago, Sammy Swordsman said:

Tier 1 -    Mater Dei, SJB, Bishop Gorman, Miami Central, AHP,  Chaminade

Tier 2 –   IMG, Buford, SFA, SJC, Card Gibbons, STA,  Guyer , Northshore,

Tier 3  -   Cen10, SJP Westlake, North Cobb, Katy, Moeller, Chandler, Duncanville

Tier 4 -  Allen, St. Ed, Timpview, Skyridge, Grayson, DeMatha, Northwestern, Bergen,  Edgewater

Tier 5 - Cedar Grove, Mission Viejo, Folsom, Serra, Desoto, Santa Margarita,  Good Counsel, Lipscomb academy, Poly, Colquitt

Tier 6 - Lowndes, Hoban, DBP, Venice, Center Grove, Lakeland, Los Al, DLS, Basha, Catholic (BR) , Loyola (IL), Milton

Tier 1 Mendoza:   SFA (54), Bishop Gorman (51), Mater Dei (40), DLS (38),AHP (28), Allen (22)

Tier 6 Mendoza:  Zachary (-35), , STA (-19), St. Ed (-14), Lownds (-11),

Dungeon Tier - ESL,  Hamilton, Liberty (NV),

New addition is the Dungeon Tier.  Teams with the most precipitous year over year decline, from a National team to not being relevant, Choking in a key game, and/or falling significantly short of expectations.  Also teams with hororendous schedules well below their pay grade may be included.r

 

 

A new metric for Tier ranking will be the Mendoza Handicap.    Modeled after baseball's Mendoza line, this handicap will represent a teams effort at scheduling relevant games.  No team with a negative Mendoza handicap will be considered for   Tier 1. 

* - Indicates teams on probation for their Tier.

** - Indicates Johnny Stanton rule in effect. (dropped due to uncertainty around injury to star player).

*Requests to add your team will be honored.  But must be Tier 6 or above to be placed on a Tier.

Below is an explanation of the Methodolgy used to place the teams on various Tiers.  The Tier concept recognizes that W/L records are a function of quality of opponent, and as such, RELEVANCY of opponent MUST be factored in.  The Tiers recognizes that in some cases, a 10-0 team (ranked in Top 100 by some outlets) could get blown off the field by a 5-5 (unranked) team that played a tougher schedule.  This is why the Tiers was created.

*Not attempting to rank every team, only the ones we discuss on this site.

*Teams are ranked appropriately for that week in the season.  Teams can improve and regress comparatively.

* The Tiers are fluid and subject to extreme fluctuations early in the year, leveling out as the year progresses.

*Tier placements consider a team’s entire body of work, however are weighted heaviest on recent games and game weights decrease in significance in reverse order.  In other words, early road OOS losses to relevant teams can be overcome as the season progresses.

*Teams placed on the same Tier can compete with other same Tier teams and possibly win 2+ of 10. 

*Basically there is a – 2 score drop between tiers.  Could vary from a TD to 3 scores depending on the styles of teams playing.  This does not necessarily mean that there is a 30 point difference between Tier 1 and Tier 3, only that the chances of a Tier 3 team beating a Tier 1 team are exponentially less than the chances of a Tier 2 Team beating a Tier 1 team.

*The Final Tiers will ultimately be made up of (4-16) teams per Tier that would form competitive playoff brackets.

*Tiers are based on exhaustive research, Multiple games watched, and good gut feelings.

*This is a crowd sourced rating. All input will be considered and adjustments will be made as appropriate

Great work as always with their tiers @Sammy Swordsman

 

I would recommend keeping an eye on Sanford Seminole (FL) to receive potential consideration

 

Beat 3 preseason ranked teams in Florida including Osceola who plays Lakeland this week (common opponent in the tiers) 

 

https://www.maxpreps.com/fl/sanford/seminole-seminoles/football/schedule/

 

 

Seminole also has games remaining with Venice, Apopka and Cocoa that should test them 

 

[Columbiafan]

Don't have to rank them yet but may be worth keeping an eye on the results the next few weeks and see if they play their way into the tiers 

[DillardHighBoyz954]

3 hours ago, Sammy Swordsman said:

Tier 1 -    Mater Dei, SJB, Bishop Gorman, Miami Central, AHP,  Chaminade

Tier 2 –   IMG, Buford, SFA, SJC, Card Gibbons, STA,  Guyer , Northshore,

Tier 3  -   Cen10, SJP Westlake, North Cobb, Katy, Moeller, Chandler, Duncanville

Tier 4 -  Allen, St. Ed, Timpview, Skyridge, Grayson, DeMatha, Northwestern, Bergen,  Edgewater

Tier 5 - Cedar Grove, Mission Viejo, Folsom, Serra, Desoto, Santa Margarita,  Good Counsel, Lipscomb academy, Poly, Colquitt

Tier 6 - Lowndes, Hoban, DBP, Venice, Center Grove, Lakeland, Los Al, DLS, Basha, Catholic (BR) , Loyola (IL), Milton

Tier 1 Mendoza:   SFA (54), Bishop Gorman (51), Mater Dei (40), DLS (38),AHP (28), Allen (22)

Tier 6 Mendoza:  Zachary (-35), , STA (-19), St. Ed (-14), Lownds (-11),

Dungeon Tier - ESL,  Hamilton, Liberty (NV),

New addition is the Dungeon Tier.  Teams with the most precipitous year over year decline, from a National team to not being relevant, Choking in a key game, and/or falling significantly short of expectations.  Also teams with hororendous schedules well below their pay grade may be included.r

 

 

A new metric for Tier ranking will be the Mendoza Handicap.    Modeled after baseball's Mendoza line, this handicap will represent a teams effort at scheduling relevant games.  No team with a negative Mendoza handicap will be considered for   Tier 1. 

* - Indicates teams on probation for their Tier.

** - Indicates Johnny Stanton rule in effect. (dropped due to uncertainty around injury to star player).

*Requests to add your team will be honored.  But must be Tier 6 or above to be placed on a Tier.

Below is an explanation of the Methodolgy used to place the teams on various Tiers.  The Tier concept recognizes that W/L records are a function of quality of opponent, and as such, RELEVANCY of opponent MUST be factored in.  The Tiers recognizes that in some cases, a 10-0 team (ranked in Top 100 by some outlets) could get blown off the field by a 5-5 (unranked) team that played a tougher schedule.  This is why the Tiers was created.

*Not attempting to rank every team, only the ones we discuss on this site.

*Teams are ranked appropriately for that week in the season.  Teams can improve and regress comparatively.

* The Tiers are fluid and subject to extreme fluctuations early in the year, leveling out as the year progresses.

*Tier placements consider a team’s entire body of work, however are weighted heaviest on recent games and game weights decrease in significance in reverse order.  In other words, early road OOS losses to relevant teams can be overcome as the season progresses.

*Teams placed on the same Tier can compete with other same Tier teams and possibly win 2+ of 10. 

*Basically there is a – 2 score drop between tiers.  Could vary from a TD to 3 scores depending on the styles of teams playing.  This does not necessarily mean that there is a 30 point difference between Tier 1 and Tier 3, only that the chances of a Tier 3 team beating a Tier 1 team are exponentially less than the chances of a Tier 2 Team beating a Tier 1 team.

*The Final Tiers will ultimately be made up of (4-16) teams per Tier that would form competitive playoff brackets.

*Tiers are based on exhaustive research, Multiple games watched, and good gut feelings.

*This is a crowd sourced rating. All input will be considered and adjustments will be made as appropriate

Solid list & appreciate all the hard work you put in. But quick question how did Dillard high make the tiers last week even after a tough lost but in a good showing vs a tier 1 school. 
 

only to not make the tiers AT ALL this week after goin on the road again & this time beating a very solid Miramar team by 28. 
 

but yet MIAMI northwestern who was just blasted by 28 vs chaminade & we’re being running clocked 42-7 before a last second TD still made the tier 4 category & they lost to chaminade worst then Dillard did. We atleast put 28 points on them at their place, where as the bulls at home could only muster up 14 & was dam near almost just 7.

[Sammy Swordsman]

24 minutes ago, DillardHighBoyz954 said:

Solid list & appreciate all the hard work you put in. But quick question how did Dillard high make the tiers last week even after a tough lost but in a good showing vs a tier 1 school. 
 

only to not make the tiers AT ALL this week after goin on the road again & this time beating a very solid Miramar team by 28. 
 

but yet MIAMI northwestern who was just blasted by 28 vs chaminade & we’re being running clocked 42-7 before a last second TD still made the tier 4 category & they lost to chaminade worst then Dillard did. We atleast put 28 points on them at their place, where as the bulls at home could only muster up 14 & was dam near almost just 7.

Dillard is in Tier 5.  I just forgot to add them.  It has been corrected.  Thanks for pointing it out.