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Massey Computer Final Ratings (12/18/23)


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  • misterfootball changed the title to Massey Computer Final Ratings (12/18/23)
23 minutes ago, misterfootball said:

I was really surprised that Ken Massey didn't keep Mater Dei #1. Even after the 28-0 loss he kept them #1. Then, when they beat St. John Bosco in the CIF Championship, he looked like a genius. So I thought for sure that they were going to remain #1. 

When there's no rhyme or reason for these types of major shifts, credibility and authenticity must be questioned. 

Hence, why the criteria of our rankings is publicly published for all to see 24/7/365:

1. Team must be undefeated

2. Team must have strong SOS

3. Team must have at least one, elite, OOS victory

By reading the aforementioned, everyone knows why C-M, MD and DS could NEVER be our MNC this season. 

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For Massey, it's how his algorithm weights the Offensive Power to Score that pulled MD down and raised De Soto and Duncaville. The TX bias is primarily that variable and the numberer of games TX teams play in a season. Massey does not provide the "weight" to SoS that other Selectors do. Massey's HS ranking algorigm skews the math towards the variable of offensive scoring figuring that over time it is a better predictive determinate of HS football winning results. Given the total points and number of games the two TX teams played (and others 5 TX teams in his top 20), you can see the trend at the end.   

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4 minutes ago, acheaja8 said:

For Massey, it's how his algorithm weights the Offensive Power to Score that pulled MD down and raised De Soto and Duncaville. The TX bias is primarily that variable and the numberer of games TX teams play in a season. Massey does not provide the "weight" to SoS that other Selectors do. Massey's HS ranking algorigm skews the math towards the variable of offensive scoring figuring that over time it is a better predictive determinate of HS football winning results. Given the total points and number of games the two TX teams played (and others 5 TX teams in his top 20), you can see the trend at the end.   

It's a broken system. 

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No argument there! Especially for the HS teams that truly can and want to be in the MNC debate. I hope the trend will continue for the top 25-50 perennial HS national teams to play more OOS matchups. That will help, statistically, a bit over time. Shoot, my kid is at one of those top programs in the debate and the national respect does matter there too!

But, for right now, more Selectors (9) are better for the standard deviation.....so to speak. 

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20 hours ago, acheaja8 said:

For Massey, it's how his algorithm weights the Offensive Power to Score that pulled MD down and raised De Soto and Duncaville. The TX bias is primarily that variable and the numberer of games TX teams play in a season. Massey does not provide the "weight" to SoS that other Selectors do. Massey's HS ranking algorigm skews the math towards the variable of offensive scoring figuring that over time it is a better predictive determinate of HS football winning results. Given the total points and number of games the two TX teams played (and others 5 TX teams in his top 20), you can see the trend at the end.   

So much for defense wins championships!

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